Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff Country chronologies: 1946:1-2016:12 Click the file name to download or view the file. USD/bbl. Carmen Reinhart: current contact information and listing of economic research of this author provided by RePEc/IDEAS Carmen Reinhart & Guillermo A. Calvo & Eduardo Fernández-Arias & Ernesto Talvi, 2001. Twitter LinkedIn Email. "Serial Sovereign Debt Restructurings and Delay: Evidence from the 1930 and 1980s Default Waves." 15639 January 2010, Revised January 2010 JEL No. Extensive data on economic, financial, fiscal and monetary policy indicators.Annual Data, 1963-2003, 104 countries. Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff’s report—“Growth in a Time of Debt”—was a highly regarded paper that concluded that when a country’s debt hits 90% of its GDP, their economies will shrink by 0.1%. Inflation Part III: Myanmar, Netherlands, New Zealand, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Norway, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Sri Lanka, Sweden, and Switzerland. Carmen Reinhart, World Bank Vice President and Chief Economist, talks with Bloomberg’s Simon Kennedy at the Bloomberg Invest Global virtual summit about the near- … The pandemic is amplifying the risk of a world-wide food-price spike, which would trigger outright crises in many developing countries. E2,E3,E6,F3,F4,N10 ABSTRACT We study economic growth and inflation at different levels of government and external debt. Prepared by Carmen M. Reinhart and M. Belen Sbrancia Authorized for distribution by Atish R. Ghosh January 2015 Abstract High public debt often produces the drama of default and restructuring. WORK WITH US. ©2009 Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff (P)2009 Gildan Media Corp 批評家のレビュー " This Time Is Different doesn't simply explain what went wrong in our most recent crisis. News; WHO WE ARE . Absent any composite index of any kind, we fill in the holes in coverage with individual commodity prices. Bibtex Slides Anchor Currencies Exchange Rate Classifications Data Country Chronologies Appendix Media: , , Inflation Part II: Finland, France, Germany, Ghana, Greece, Guatemala, Honduras, Hungary, Iceland, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Kenya, Korea, Malaysia, Mauritius, Mexico, and Morocco. "Exchange Arrangements Entering the Twenty-First Century: Which Anchor will Hold?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. In 2018 we were awarded the King Juan Carlos Prize in Economics and NABE's Adam Smith Award, among others. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff. The emphasis is on the most severe crises. President David Malpass today announced that Carmen Reinhart has been appointed as the new VP and Chief Economist of the WBG. Twitter LinkedIn Email. Carmen M. Reinhart (La Habana, 1955), nacida Carmen Castellanos, es una economista estadounidense de origen cubano. NBER International Seminar in Macroeconomics 2008, (Chicago: Chicago University Press for NBER, 2009)Capital account and current account balances. But it's not all good news, because the largest economic imbalances remain unchanged. She was Senior Policy Advisor and Deputy Director at the International Monetary Fund and Chief Economist the investment bank Bear Stearns in the 1980s. We study economic growth and inflation at different levels of government and external debt. Karen Maley Columnist Jun 15, 2020 – 4.16pm -0.18 -0.39% The global economy hasn’t looked this fragile since the Great Depression of the 1930s, according to Harvard University economist Carmen Reinhart. Our study is based on a new dataset that spans all regions. Data Exchange Rate Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold? Four spreadsheets cover annual data from as early as 1265 (depending on the country) to 2010 (updated with the IMF's October 2010 World Economic Outlook) for 70 countries. 15795 March 2010 JEL No. © 2020, Carmen Reinhart. World Bank Chief Economist Carmen Reinhart said the coronavirus pandemic is turning into a major economic crisis and warned of the possibility of a financial crisis emerging. Ethan Ilzetzki & Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2020. Visit our website (as well as the data posted alongside the papers) for related additional material related to my ongoing work on crises, exchange rates, and other topics. See Carmen Reinhart and Vincent Reinhart (2009), Jonathan Ostry (2012), Graciela Kaminsky and Pablo Vega-Garcia (2014), and the literature cited therein. On this page we present data collected over many years by Carmen Reinhart (with her coauthors Ken Rogoff, Christoph Trebesch, and Vincent Reinhart). Carmen M. Reinhart is the Minos A. Zombanakis Professor of the International Financial System at Harvard Kennedy School.She was Senior Policy Advisor and Deputy Director at the International Monetary Fund and Chief Economist the investment bank Bear Stearns in the 1980s. When It Rains, It Pours: Procyclical Capital Flows and Policies (with Graciela L. Kaminsky and Carlos A.Végh). Our data sources for the post World War II period are standard databases of the International Monetary Fund-International Financial Statistics (IFS) and World Economic Outlook (WEO). Data Our preferred measures are consumer price indices or their close relative, cost-of-living indices. Market data provided by Factset. Of course with the data made available by professor Reinhart and in the link provided allows others to make discoveries and make checks on the data. "The Growth-Interest Rate Cycle in the United States and its Consequences for Emerging Markets," Research Department Publications 4279, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. In particular, we … Carmen M. Reinhart (ur. Since our analysis spans several earlier centuries, we rely on the meticulous work of a number of economic historians who have constructed such price indices item by item, most often by city rather than by country, from primary sources. 134(2), pages 599-646. 2. Growth in a Time of Debt Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff NBER Working Paper No. A Decade of Debt Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff NBER Working Paper No. Kennedy School’s Carmen Reinhart, just named chief economist at the World Bank, says the COVID-born financial crisis will last until the health crisis is solved By Christina Pazzanese Harvard Staff Writer DateMay 20, 2020May 20, 2020 Economist Carmen M. Reinhart, Minos A. Zombanakis Professor of the International Financial System at Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), will… Capital Flow Bonanzas: An Encompassing View of the Past and Present, Capital Inflows and Reserve Accumulation: The Recent Evidence, When It Rains, It Pours: Procyclical Capital Flows and Policies, The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance of Payments Problems, The Causes of Banking and Balance of Payments Problems. Governments must therefore work together to address disruptions to food supply chains and prevent food protectionism from becoming the post-pandemic new normal. At the WB/IMF Annual Meetings last month, the Development Committee tasked the Bank and the Fund to propose actions to address low income countries’ unsustainable debt burdens. Kennedy School’s Carmen Reinhart, just named chief economist at the World Bank, says the COVID-born financial crisis will last until the health crisis is solved By Christina Pazzanese Harvard Staff Writer DateMay 20, 2020May 20, 2020 Economist Carmen M. Reinhart, Minos A. Zombanakis Professor of the International Financial System at Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), will… Our preferred measures are consumer price indices or their close relative, cost-of-living indices. Carmen Reinhart is the Minos A. Zombanakis Professor of the International Financial System at Harvard Kennedy School. 16893 March 2011 JEL No. Carmen Reinhart has been appointed as the new Vice President and Chief Economist of the World Bank Group. “The COVID-19 crisis did not start as a financial crisis, but it is morphing into a global one,” according to Carmen Reinhart, chief economist at the World Bank. For colonial America, the Historical Statistics of the United States (HSOUS), while Richard Gardner (Economic History of Latin America, the United States and the New World, 1500-1900) covers key cities. Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press, 11-53. Public Debt Overhangs: Advanced-Economy Episodes since 1800 by Carmen M. Reinhart, Vincent R. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff. 2 . Carmen Reinhart (L'Avana, 7 ottobre 1955) è un'economista e accademica cubana naturalizzata statunitense. The Data Appendix lists all sources used. Carmen Reinhart (著), Kenneth Rogoff (著), Sean Pratt (ナレーション), & 5つ星のうち4.1 365個の評価 その他 の形式およびエディションを表示する 他の形式およびエディションを非表示にする Carmen M. Reinhart (née Castellanos, born October 7, 1955) is a Cuban-born American economist and the Minos A. Zombanakis Professor of the International Financial System at Harvard Kennedy School. These include Banking Crisis dates for more than 70 countries from 1800-present, exchange rate crises, stock market crises, sovereign debt growth and default, and many other data series. Harvard Kennedy School professor Carmen Reinhart and Harvard University professor Kenneth Rogoff argued in their 2010 NBER paper that economic growth slows down when the debt/GDP ratio exceeds the threshold of 90 percent of GDP. Carmen M. Reinhart and M. Belen Sbrancia NBER Working Paper No. One difference between our study and previous classification efforts is that we employ an extensive data base on market-determined parallel exchange rates. Carmen M. Reinhart, University of Maryland and NBER Kenneth S. Rogoff, Harvard University and NBER Abstract This paper offers a “panoramic” analysis of the history of financial crises dating from England’s fourteenth-century default to the current United States sub-prime financial crisis. All Rights Reserved. World Bank Sees Risk Pandemic Turns Into Financial Crisis WATCH: Carmen Reinhart, chief economist of the World Bank looks at how the coronavirus … Harvard’s Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff are two of the most respected and influential academic economists active today. Tim Walker looks at … Carmen M. Reinhart is the Minos A. Zombanakis Professor of the International Financial System at Harvard Kennedy School. Capital Flow Bonanzas: An Encompassing View of the Past and Present, (with Vincent R. Reinhart) in Jeffrey Frankel and Francesco Giavazzi (eds.) For a more comprehensive description of our approach, data and coding, see the companion paper Carmen Reinhart, Vincent Reinhart, and Christoph Trebesch (2016). Global data and statistics, research and publications, and topics in poverty and development. When no consumer price (cost-of-living) indices are available, we turn to wholesale or producer prices indices (as, for example, China in the 1800s and the U.S. in the 1720s). Reinhart is the Vice President and Chief Economist of the World Bank Group. Inflation Part IV: Taiwan, Thailand, Tunisia, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, Uruguay, Venezuela, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. (I have never taken any classed from professors Reinhart or Rogoff or have any contact other than looking at their work on the internet. Published Versions Ethan Ilzetzki & Carmen M Reinhart & Kenneth S Rogoff, 2019. jako Castellanos 7 października 1955) – amerykańska ekonomistka, profesor finansów Uniwersytetu Harvarda, pracowniczka naukowa NBER i CEPR. in Mark Gertler and Kenneth S. Rogoff, (eds.) That was the … Leben Reinharts Familie zog 1966 von Kuba in die Vereinigten Staaten, wo sie sich zunächst in Pasadena niederließ. Working Paper 15639 DOI 10.3386/w15639 Issue Date January 2010. Jobs, procurement, training, and events. The World Bank’s Carmen Reinhart and Harvard’s Kenneth Rogoff say the more official aid and soft loans can go toward helping needy citizens around … Harvard Kennedy School Professor Carmen Reinhart and MIT Sloan School Professor Erik Brynjolfsson discuss global economic uncertainty, the impact of … This almost always takes the form of wheat prices for Europe and rice prices for Asia. Our data sources for the post World War II period are standard databases of the International Monetary Fund-International Financial Statistics (IFS) and World Economic Outlook (WEO). Published in volume 26, issue 3, pages 69-86 of Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer We have shared with all G20 governments a breakdown of their official bilateral debts extended to DSSI-eligible countries, as reported to us by borrowers, and requested your validation of the data. Addicted to Dollars (with Keneth S. Rogoff and Miguel A. Savastano) NBER Working Paper 10015.Indices of dollarization and their components. NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004. We develop a novel system of re-classifying historical exchange rate regimes. Carmen Reinhart's expertise on financial crises uniquely qualifies her as the new chief economist of the World Bank. Unpublished, Harvard University is She was Senior Policy Advisor and Deputy Director at the International Monetary Fund and Chief Economist the investment bank Bear Stearns in the 1980s. In this regard, the scholars participating in the Global Price and Income History Group project at the University of California, Davis and their counterparts at the Dutch International Institute of Social History have been an invaluable source for prices, particularly for Europe. Read more. Our analysis is based on new data on forty-four countries spanning about two hundred years. In Section II, we examine the output consequences of 100 crises spanning more than one and a half centuries. Revision Date December 2011. The rates of US economic growth and especially personal saving have been higher than previously believed, according to revised data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. 1815. Economist Carmen M. Reinhart, Minos A. Zombanakis Professor of the International Financial System at Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), will take a two-year leave to become chief economist and vice president at the World Bank on June 15, it was announced today. ST. PETERSBURG/SINGAPORE – … Our analysis is based on new data on forty-four countries spanning about two hundred years. Harvard professors are not immune from spreadsheet mistakes. Annual Data, 1963-2003, 104 countries . Click the file name to download or view the file. 2014-49 Department of Economics University of Munich Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät Ludwig-Maximilians Sebastian Horn, Carmen Reinhart, Christoph Trebesch 20 March 2020 To provide a long-run perspective, this column documents the international response to a variety of disasters since 1790. The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance of Payments Problems. © 2020, Carmen Reinhart. With 189 member countries, staff from more than 170 countries, and offices in over 130 … Amazon配送商品ならThis Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Follyが通常配送無料。更にAmazonならポイント還元本が多数。Reinhart, Carmen M., Rogoff, Kenneth S.作品ほか、お急ぎ便対象商品は当日お届けも可能。 Reinhart-Rogoff. This site uses cookies to optimize functionality and give you the best possible experience. Carmen M. Reinhart at IDEAS Selected works and data are also featured Behavioral Finance and Financial Stability Project at Harvard Business School Recent Awards, Commentary, and Research FIMEF Diamond Finance Award, Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, Mexico, August 2019. Carmen M. Reinhart University of Maryland School of Public Policy and We wanted to see for ourselves what Reinhart and Rogoff’s data could say about whether high national debt seems to cause low growth. When the Amherst economists reworked Reinhart and Rogoff’s calculations to take account of programming errors and data omissions, they came up … data also documents other crises that often accompany default: including inflation, exchange rate crashes, banking crises, and currency debasements. On this page we present data collected over many years by Carmen Reinhart (with her coauthors Ken Rogoff, Christoph Trebesch, and Vincent Reinhart). F3,H6,N10 ABSTRACT This paper presents evidence that public debts in the advanced economies Each country has its own page with the underlying data from multiple sources (with their corresponding full bibliographical references) that make up the Reinhart-Rogoff (RR) series. Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. 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